MONROE, La. (KNOE) - President Trump may be lagging behind his potential competition in a new Fox News general election poll, but polls in specific battleground states show that he remains highly competitive and, in many cases, even stronger than his potential opponents in key areas needed to win the 2020 presidential election.
The polls were released Monday by NY Times/Siena, Emerson, and UT/Texas Tribune and asked respondents who they would vote for if the 2020 election were held today. They matched Trump up against the top three Democratic presidential candidates: Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and Bernie Sanders. You can view them here.
Florida (NY Times/Siena)
Florida remains a strong area for Trump, with the latest poll showing him beating Sanders and Warren but losing to Biden. Trump won this state by 1.2% in 2016.
Biden 46, Trump 44 / Biden +2
Trump 46, Warren 42 / Trump +4
Trump 45, Sanders 44 / Trump +1
Wisconsin (NY Times/Siena)
Democrats fare a little better than in Florida, but not by much. This poll indicates that Wisconsin will continue to be a prime battleground state. Trump won this state in 2016.
Biden 46, Trump 44 / Biden +2
Warren 45, Trump 47 / Trump +2
Sanders 47, Trump 46 / Sanders +1
Pennsylvania (NY Times/Siena)
Trump won this state by less than 1% in 2016 and if this poll is any indication, he could do so again.
Biden 46, Trump 45 / Biden +1
Warren 44, Trump 46 / Trump +2
Sanders 44, Trump 45 / Trump +1
Nevada appears to be leaning toward Trump, according to the latest Emerson poll. This was a state that Hillary Clinton won in 2016 by roughly 2%, so Trump could flip this state.
Biden 49, Trump 51 / Trump +2
Trump 51, Warren 49 / Trump +2
Sanders 50, Trump 50 / Tie
Michigan (NY Times/Siena & Emerson)
Michigan appears to be more favorable to Democrats in the latest round of polling. In the latest polls released on Monday, the Democratic nominee only loses to Trump in NY Times' Warren vs. Trump matchup. Democrats have comfortable leads in the Emerson poll with Biden and Sanders winning by more than 10 points. Trump won Michigan in 2016 by 0.23%.
Biden 45, Trump 44 / Biden +1
Biden 56, Trump 44 / Biden +12
Warren 40, Trump 45 / Trump +5
Warren 54, Trump 46 / Warren +8
Sanders 46, Trump 42 / Sanders +4
Sanders 57, Trump 43 / Sanders +14
Italics: Emerson poll
North Carolina (NY Times/Siena)
Voters in North Carolina appear to be leaning toward Trump for 2020. Trump won North Carolina by 3.67%, which falls in line with the latest round of polling in that state.
Biden 46, Trump 48 / Trump +2
Trump 48, Warren 44 / Trump +4
Sanders 44, Trump 48 / Trump +4
Arizona (NY Times/Siena)
Trump won Arizona in 2016 by fewer than 100,000 votes. This is a close race all around.
Biden 49, Trump 46 / Biden +3
Trump 47, Warren 46 / Trump +1
Trump 49, Sanders 45 / Trump +4
Iowa (NY Times/Siena)
Trump won Iowa handily in 2016, beating Hillary Clinton by roughly 10 points. Biden fares much better than Clinton did in 2016, but Iowa appears to be leaning toward Trump again in 2020.
Trump 45, Biden 44 / Trump +1
Trump 47, Warren 40 / Trump +7
Trump 45, Sanders 43 / Trump +2
Texas (UT/Texas Tribune)
By some measures Texas is expected to become a battleground soon, but the latest UT/Texas Tribune poll says that might not happen in the 2020 election. Trump has solid leads against all three top Democrats. He won the state by 9% in 2016.
Trump 46, Biden 39 / Trump +7
Trump 46, Warren 39 / Trump +7
Trump 45, Sanders 40 / Trump +5
Joe Biden remains the favorite to get the Democratic nomination.